Popular vote update Feb 13

Posted on Wednesday, February 13th, 2008 at 11:02 am by JTE

Looks like Senator Obama has just eeked by Senator Clinton to take the lead in the ongoing popular vote tally. Here are updates that include yesterday’s Maryland, Virginia, and DC (statehood now!) primaries. A new feature debuting in today’s update–in the “both party” summary tally, I’ve added a row showing each candidate’s total as a percentage of the leading (Obama) candidate’s total, and of the trailing (Republican) party’s total as a percentage of the leading (Democratic) party’s total.

Democratic primary popular vote totals (as of Feb 13)

Republican primary popular vote totals (as of Feb 13)

Both party leading candidates primary popular vote totals (as of Feb 13)

Other than the change-up in the lead, no new observations. Previous observations:

  • The results in Michigan for the Democrats are heavily skewed in favor of Senator Clinton since Senator Obama wasn’t listed on that ballot. Notice that the “other” category there is so high. So for bean counters in the race between Clinton and Obama, that’s something to be aware of.
  • Overall voting for Democratic candidates is nearly 50 percent higher than overall voting for Republican candidates; or, reversing the math, overall Republican voting was nearly 33 percent lower than overall Democratic voting. Whichever version floats your spin boat.
  • Ron Paul has received more votes than Rudy Giuliani. And this guy saved the world from terrorism? What a joke!
  • Clinton and Obama each have received nearly twice as many votes as the leading Republican, Senator McCain.
  • In his home state of Arizona, McCain failed to garner even 50 percent of the Republican vote. That must be a little disappointing. They know something the rest of us don’t?
  • Total votes for McCain=4.9million, Romney=4.1million, Huckabee=2.5million. And yet Romney is the one who got squeezed out of the race while Huckabee threatens a Giants-over-Patriots upset? Weird.

Feb 11 tallies.

Feb 6 tallies.

UPDATE: Devilstower at DailyKos is showing me up. All I did was dutifully type in the numbers and post the tallies. He/she actually took just a moment to notice this marvelous notable observation:

 

Barack Obama didn’t just beat Hillary in Virginia. He didn’t just get more votes than John McCain. In “red” Virginia, Obama got 142,000 more votes than all the Republicans put together. And that was with Hillary Clinton taking 100,000 more votes than John McCain.

He kicked butt, took names, and did it with both hands tied behind his back.

Oh, and in Maryland, with 40% of the vote in, Hillary is beating all Republicans put together while losing by 27%. You could probably limit Democrats to only left-handed voters, or red-haired voters, or left-handed red-haired voters whose names start with ‘Q,’ and the Republicans would still be in trouble.

He/she wasn’t quite right about Clinton outpolling the combined Republicans in Maryland, but she sure came close (with 93% of precincts reporting it’s Clinton: 273,828 vs. All Republican: 277,162).

[UPDATE number 2] Here are some more vote tallies: Feb 20 , March 5.

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