ISBN: 9781931498869 Year Added to Catalog: 2004 Book Format: Paperback and CD-ROM Book Art: graphs, flowcharts, bibliography, index Book Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing Old ISBN: 1931498865 Release Date: January 20, 2005 Web Product ID: 244
"In 1972, The Limits to Growth was published as a clarion call to begin changing the way the world worked so we safely made it to 2050-2070. The authors were clear that the path of change needed to begin "now" so we made a course correction within the next 30 years. Sadly, the message they wrote got badly misunderstood and by 30 years later, scores of critiques to the book claimed the authors warned that the world would run out of oil and other scare resources by 1990 or 2000. It is time for the world to re-read Limits to Growth! The message of 1972 is far more real and relevant in 2004 and we wasted a valuable 30 years of action plans by misreading the message of the first book."
—Matthew R. Simmons, energy analyst and founder, Simmons & Company International, The world's largest energy investment banking practice
In 1972 four young scientists at MIT wrote a book called The Limits to Growth that shocked the world and became an international best-seller. Using the World3 computer model, the authors looked into the future and sounded an alarm, for the first time showing the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet. Their book gained worldwide attention and became the cornerstone of a global debate on how to achieve a sustainable future.
Twenty years later the authors wrote Beyond the Limits, a follow-up volume that showed humanity was already overshooting Earth's limits. Beyond the Limits again provoked a national debate and galvanized the scientific and environmental academics leaders to incorporate Limits to Growth into the core environmental studies curriculum.
Now Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update brings data on overshoot and global ecological collapse to the present moment. It provides a short course in the World3 computer model, types of growth, and the various kinds of overshoot likely to occur in the current century. While it remains to be seen whether public policy will respond effectively and in time to problems such as climate change, this book makes a compelling case for the vital need for a Sustainability Revolution.
This disc is intended for serious students of Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update. It permits users to reproduce and examine the details of the ten scenarios published in the book. The CD can be run on most Macintosh and PC operating systems. With it you will be able to:
Reproduce the three graphs for each of the scenarios as they appear in the book.
Graph the eleven individual parameters for each scenario.
Create comparative plots to examine the behavior of one parameter under the assumptions for two or more scenarios.
Print out 47 key variables in five-year increments from 1900 to 2100 for any of the scenarios.
The CD also includes:
Full model equations compatible with STELLA
Eighty-five JPEG files of the important book illustrations for use in lectures and classroom discussions.
About the Authors
Dennis Meadows is Emeritus Professor of Systems Policy and Social Science Research at the University of New Hampshire, where he was also Director of the Institute for Policy and Social Science Research. In 2009 he received the Japan Prize for his contributions to world peace and sustainable development. He has authored ten books and numerous educational games, which have been translated into more than 15 languages for use around the world. He earned his Ph.D. in Management from MIT, where he previously served on the faculty, and has received four honorary doctorates for his contributions to environmental education.
Jorgen Randers is professor of climate strategy at the BI Norwegian Business School, where he works on climate issues and scenario analysis. He was previously president of BI and deputy director general of WWF International (World Wildlife Fund) in Switzerland. He lectures internationally on sustainable development and especially climate, and is a nonexecutive member of a number of corporate boards. He sits on the sustainability councils of British Telecom in the UK and the Dow Chemical Company in the United States. In 2006 he chaired the cabinet-appointed Commission on Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions, which reported on how Norway ...
A woman whose pioneering work in the
1970s still makes front-page news, Donella
Meadows was a scientist, author, teacher, and
farmer widely considered ahead of her time. She
was one of the world's foremost systems analysts
and lead author of the influential Limits to
Growth—the 1972 book on global trends in
population, economics, and the environment
that was translated into 28 languages and
became an international bestseller. That book
launched a worldwide debate on the earth's
capacity to withstand constant human development
and expansion. Twenty years later, she and
co-authors Dennis Meadows and Jorgen
Randers reported on their follow-up study ...